risk premium
Economics
Finance
Examples of risk premium in the following topics:
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The "Bond Yield Plus Risk Premium" Approach
- The risk premium on its equity is 4%.
- The normal historical equity risk premium for all equities has been just over 6%.
- In general, an equity's risk premium will be between 5% and 7%.
- Common methods for estimating the equity risk premium include:
- Describe the process for the bond yield plus risk premium approach
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The Cost of Common Equity
- -- Expected return for a security equals the risk-free return for the market plus the beta for the security times its risk premium.
- The CAPM shows that the cost of equity is equal to the risk free rate plus a premium expected for risk.
- Another approach to calculating the cost of common stock is to add a risk premium to the cost of debt.
- The risk premium is the additional rate that must be paid to common shareholders above what is paid to bond holders, given the amount of risk carried by the equity.
- Expected return for a security equals the risk-free return for the market plus the beta for the security times its risk premium.
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Default Risk and Bond Price
- Economists call the difference between the interest rate on the U.S. government bonds and corporate bonds the default risk premium.Investors add default risk premium to a risk-free investment, so they can invest in "risky" bonds because they earn a greater return.
- Risk premium is always positive.
- As the default risk increases, then the risk premium increases too.
- During recessions, when some businesses bankrupt, the default risk increases, increasing the risk premium.
- Impact of a risk premium on the bond markets
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Expected Risk and Risk Premium
- Overall riskiness of an asset is composed of its own individual risk (beta) along with its risk in relation to the market as a whole.
- Systemic risk is the risk associated with an entire financial system or entire market.
- On the other hand, unsystematic risk is risk to which only specific classes of securities or industries are vulnerable.
- The term risk premium refers to the amount by which an asset's expected rate of return exceeds the risk free rate.
- The risk premium, along with the risk-free rate and the asset's Beta, is used as an input in popular asset valuation techniques, such as the Capital Asset Pricing Model.
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Measuring and Managing Risk
- Therefore, investment returns compensate holders for the time to maturity via a risk premium .
- Risk premium compensates holders for risks inherent to an investment and are incorporated in the rate of return quoted for an investment.
- The differential in yield can be attributed to a risk premium for time to maturity.
- Another aspect of time horizon is reinvestment risk.
- To compensate investors for taking on this type of risk, the issuer will provide a risk premium to incentivize the investor to purchase the investment.
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The Term Structure
- The expectation hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates is the proposition that the long-term rate is determined by the market's expectation for the short-term rate plus a constant risk premium.
- Shortcomings of the expectations theory is that it neglects the risks inherent in investing in bonds, namely interest rate risk and reinvestment rate risk.
- This is called the term premium or the liquidity premium.
- This premium compensates investors for the added risk of having their money tied up for a longer period, including the greater price uncertainty.
- Long-term yields are also higher not just because of the liquidity premium, but also because of the risk premium added by the risk of default from holding a security over the long-term.
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Impact of Diversification on Risk and Return: Systematic Risk
- As a result, the portion of risk that is unsystematic -- or risk that can be diversified away -- does not require additional compensation in terms of expected return.
- This type of risk cannot be diversified away, and is referred to as systematic risk.
- This is the portion of risk that pays the risk premium, because the risk associated with this particular segment of the market is more tightly linked to the risk of the market as a whole.
- This risk is present regardless of the amount of diversification undertaken by an investor.
- Diversification theory says that the only risk that earns a risk premium is that which can't be diversified away.
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Defining the Security Market Line
- The Y-intercept of the SML is equal to the risk-free interest rate.
- Recall that the risk-free interest rate is the theoretical rate of return of an investment with no risk of financial loss.
- The slope of the SML is equal to the market risk premium and reflects the risk return trade off at a given time.
- The idea of a security market line follows from the ideas asserted in the last section, which is that investors are naturally risk averse, and a premium is expected to offset the volatility of a risky investment.
- The y-intercept of this line is the risk-free rate (the ROI of an investment with beta value of 0), and the slope is the premium that the market charges for risk.
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The Relationship Between Risk and Return and the Security Market Line
- Investment assets are typically characterized as having two performance risks: systematic (or market risk) and non-systematic risk.
- For individual securities, the security market line (SML) and its relation to expected return and systematic risk (beta) depicts an individual security in relation to their security risk class .
- The market risk premium is determined from the slope of the SML.
- The intercept is the nominal risk-free rate available for the market, while the slope is the market premium, E(Rm)− Rf.
- If the security's expected return versus risk is plotted above the SML, it is undervalued since the investor can expect a greater return for the inherent risk.
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Inflation Premium
- An inflation premium is the part of prevailing interest rates that results from lenders compensating for expected inflation.
- In addition, they will want to be compensated for the risks of the money having less purchasing power when the loan is repaid.
- These risks are systematic risks, regulatory risks and inflationary risks.
- The inflation premium will compensate for the third risk, so investors seek this premium to compensate for the erosion in the value of their capital, due to inflation.
- In the Fisher equation, π is the inflation premium.