discounted cash flow
(noun)
An estimated future cash flow discounted by the probability of receiving that cash flow.
Examples of discounted cash flow in the following topics:
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Discounted Cash Flow Approach
- The discounted cash flow approach finds the value of an asset using its expected return and the present values of future cash flows.
- The discounted cash flow (DCF) approach utilizes the time value of money concept to find the value of an asset.
- -- FCFN+1 = future cash flow one year after the projection period. k = discount rate. g = assumed constant growth rate.
- FCFN+1 = future cash flow one year after the projection period. k = discount rate. g = assumed constant growth rate.
- Calculate the value of a project using the discounted cash flow approach
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Discounted Payback
- Discounted payback period is the amount of time to cover the cost, by adding positive discounted cash flow coming from the profits of the project.
- Assuming the discount rate is 10%, we would apply the following formula to each cash flow.
- Discounted Cash Flow at 10%: Year 0: -2000, year 1: 909, year 2: 827, year 3: 1503.
- The next step is to compute the cumulative discounted cash flow, by summing the discounted cash flow for each year.
- Accumulated discounted cash flows: Year 0: -2000, year 1: -1091, year 2: -264, year 3: 1239.
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NPV Profiles
- The NPV calculation involves discounting all cash flows to the present based on an assumed discount rate.
- Thus, when discount rates are large, cash flows further in the future affect NPV less than when the rates are small.
- Conversely, a low discount rate means that NPV is affected more by the cash flows that occur further in the future.
- The NPV Profile assumes that all cash flows are discounted at the same rate.
- A higher discount rate places more emphasis on earlier cash flows, which are generally the outflows.
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Cash Flow
- Cash flow is the movement of money into or out of a business.
- Cash flow is extremely important to a firm.
- One way to get cash flow quickly is through seasonal discounts .
- Another option is cash discounts.
- A quick way to generate cash flow is to offer seasonal discounts.
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Cash Flow from Financing
- One of the three main components of the cash flow statement is cash flow from financing.
- Receiving the money is a positive cash flow because cash is flowing into the company, while each individual payment is a negative cash flow.
- Extending credit is an investing activity, so all cash flows related to that loan fall under cash flows from investing activities, not financing activities.
- For example, a company may issue a discount which is a financing expense.
- However, because no cash changes hands, the discount does not appear on the cash flow statement.
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Defining NPV
- In order to see whether the cash outflows are less than the cash inflows (i.e., the investment earns a positive return), the investor aggregates the cash flows.
- Since cash flows occur over a period of time, the investor knows that due to the time value of money, each cash flow has a certain value today .
- Thus, in order to sum the cash inflows and outflows, each cash flow must be discounted to a common point in time.
- Also recall that PV is found by the formula $PV=\frac { FV }{ { (1+i) }^{ t } }$ where FV is the future value (size of each cash flow), i is the discount rate, and t is the number of periods between the present and future.
- The PV of multiple cash flows is simply the sum of the PVs for each cash flow.
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Cash flow forecasts
- This is why cash flow forecasts are prepared.
- Cash flow forecasts are often prepared for longer periods of time as well, depending on circumstances.
- Unlike the income statement, a cash flow statement deals only with actual cash transactions.
- Depreciation, a non-cash transaction, does not appear on a cash flow statement.
- Loan payments (both principal and interest) will appear on your cash flow statement since they require the outlay of cash.
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Calculating the Payback Period
- Start by calculating Net Cash Flow for each year: Net Cash Flow Year 1 = Cash Inflow Year 1 - Cash Outflow Year 1.
- Then Cumulative Cash Flow = (Net Cash Flow Year 1 + Net Cash Flow Year 2 + Net Cash Flow Year 3 ... etc.)
- Some businesses modified this method by adding the time value of money to get the discounted payback period.
- They discount the cash inflows of the project by a chosen discount rate (cost of capital), and then follow usual steps of calculating the payback period.
- Then the cumulative positive cash flows are determined for each period.
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Calculating the NPV
- The NPV is found by summing the present values of each individual cash flow.
- Cash inflows (such as coupon payments or the repayment of principal on a bond) have a positive sign while cash outflows (such as the money used to purchase the investment) have a negative sign.
- The accurate calculation of NPV relies on knowing the amount of each cash flow and when each will occur.
- Since many people believe that it is appropriate to use higher discount rates to adjust for risk or other factors, they may choose to use a variable discount rate.
- NPV is the sum of of the present values of all cash flows associated with a project.
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Preparation of the Statement of Cash Flows: Direct Method
- There is an indirect and a direct method for calculating cash flows from operating activities.
- The following is an example of using the direct method for calculating cash flows.
- For example, if the interest expense is ten dollars, and the unamortized discount decreases by three dollars, then the cash paid for interest is seven dollars.
- Cash flows refer to inflows and outflows of cash from activities reported on an income statement.
- Explain the direct method for preparing the statement of cash flows