straw poll

Examples of straw poll in the following topics:

• The Literary Digest Poll

  • Incorrect polling techniques used during the 1936 presidential election led to the demise of the popular magazine, The Literary Digest.
  • As it had done in 1920, 1924, 1928 and 1932, it conducted a straw poll regarding the likely outcome of the 1936 presidential election.
  • The 1936 poll showed that the Republican candidate, Governor Alfred Landon of Kansas, was likely to be the overwhelming winner.
  • In retrospect, the polling techniques employed by the magazine were to blame.
  • Critique the problems with the techniques used by the Literary Digest Poll

• The Gallup Poll

  • The Gallup Poll is a public opinion poll that conducts surveys in 140 countries around the world.
  • The Gallup Poll is the division of Gallup that regularly conducts public opinion polls in more than 140 countries around the world.
  • Poll analyst Nate Silver found that Gallup's results were the least accurate of the 23 major polling firms Silver analyzed, having the highest incorrect average of being 7.2 points away from the final result.
  • This fact has been a major criticism in recent times of the reliability Gallup polling, compared to other polls, in its failure to compensate accurately for the quick adoption of "cell phone only" Americans.
  • Examine the pros and cons of the way in which the Gallup Poll is conducted

• A Closer Look at the Gallup Poll

  • The Gallup Poll is an opinion poll that uses probability samples to try to accurately represent the attitudes and beliefs of a population.
  • The Gallup Poll is the division of Gallup, Inc. that regularly conducts public opinion polls in more than 140 countries around the world.
  • The poll has been around since 1935.
  • The Gallup Poll is an opinion poll that uses probability sampling.
  • This provided a much quicker way to poll many people.

• The Year the Polls Elected Dewey

  • As the campaign drew to a close, the polls showed Truman was gaining.
  • Let's take a closer look at the polls.
  • The Gallup, Roper, and Crossley polls all predicted a Dewey win.
  • This would cause significant error in the results of the poll.
  • Pollsters, in reality, were left to poll whomever they chose.

• Telephone Surveys

  • A telephone survey is a type of opinion poll used by researchers.
  • As with other methods of polling, their are advantages and disadvantages to utilizing telephone surveys.
  • In certain polls, the interviewer or interviewee (or both) may wish to remain anonymous, which can be achieved if the poll is conducted over the phone by a third party.
  • As some people do not answer calls from strangers, or may refuse to answer the poll, poll samples are not always representative samples from a population due to what is known as non-response bias.
  • In terms of election polls, studies suggest that bias effects are small, but each polling firm has its own techniques for adjusting weights to minimize selection bias.

• Critical Thinking

  • For example, results of opinion polling are often cited by news organizations, but the quality of such polls varies considerably.
  • Some understanding of the statistical technique of sampling is necessary in order to be able to correctly interpret polling results.
  • The wording of a poll question may introduce a bias, and thus can even be used intentionally to produce a biased result.
  • Good polls use unbiased techniques, with much time and effort being spent in the design of the questions and polling strategy.
  • Statistical literacy is necessary to understand what makes a poll trustworthy and to properly weigh the value of poll results and conclusions.

• Caveat Emptor and the Gallup Poll

  • Readers of polls, such as the Gallup Poll, should exercise Caveat Emptor by taking into account the poll's margin of error.
  • The Gallup Poll is the division of the Gallup Company that regularly conducts public opinion polls in more than 140 countries around the world.
  • Gallup Poll results, analyses, and videos are published daily on Gallup.com in the form of data-driven news.
  • This principle can also be applied to the reading of polling information.
  • Readers should pay close attention to a poll's margin of error.

• Introduction to inference for a single proportion

  • The Pew Research Center conducted a poll about support for the 2010 health care law, and they used two forms of the survey question.
  • According to a New York Times / CBS News poll in June 2012, only about 44% of the American public approves of the job the Supreme Court is doing. 1 This poll included responses of 976 adults.

• Measures of Variability of Qualitative and Ranked Data

  • Consider two polls with the simple parameters of "agree" or "disagree. " These polls question 100 respondents.
  • The first poll results in 75 "agrees" while the second poll only results in 50 "agrees. " The first poll has less variability since more respondents answered similarly.

• Random Sampling

  • An online poll in which a person is asked to given their opinion about something is not random because only those people with strong opinions, either positive or negative, are likely to respond.
  • This type of poll doesn't reflect the opinions of the apathetic .
  • Online and phone-in polls also produce biased samples because the respondents are self-selected.