Examples of nuisance parameters in the following topics:
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When Does the Z-Test Apply?
- Nuisance parameters should be known, or estimated with high accuracy (an example of a nuisance parameter would be the standard deviation in a one-sample location test).
- $Z$-tests focus on a single parameter, and treat all other unknown parameters as being fixed at their true values.
- In practice, due to Slutsky's theorem, "plugging in" consistent estimates of nuisance parameters can be justified.
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Randomized Block Design
- However, there are also several other nuisance factors.
- Nuisance factors are those that may affect the measured result, but are not of primary interest.
- All experiments have nuisance factors.
- When we can control nuisance factors, an important technique known as blocking can be used to reduce or eliminate the contribution to experimental error contributed by nuisance factors.
- Randomization is then used to reduce the contaminating effects of the remaining nuisance variables.
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Randomized Design: Single-Factor
- Completely randomized designs study the effects of one primary factor without the need to take other nuisance variables into account.
- In the design of experiments, completely randomized designs are for studying the effects of one primary factor without the need to take into account other nuisance variables.
- Discover how randomized experimental design allows researchers to study the effects of a single factor without taking into account other nuisance variables.
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Interpreting confidence intervals
- Incorrect language might try to describe the confidence interval as capturing the population parameter with a certain probability.
- This is one of the most common errors: while it might be useful to think of it as a probability, the confidence level only quantifies how plausible it is that the parameter is in the interval.
- Another especially important consideration of confidence intervals is that they only try to capture the population parameter.
- Confidence intervals only attempt to capture population parameters.
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Capturing the population parameter
- A plausible range of values for the population parameter is called a confidence interval.
- If we report a point estimate, we probably will not hit the exact population parameter.
- On the other hand, if we report a range of plausible values – a confidence interval – we have a good shot at capturing the parameter.
- If we want to be very certain we capture the population parameter, should we use a wider interval or a smaller interval?
- Likewise, we use a wider confidence interval if we want to be more certain that we capture the parameter.
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Introduction to confidence intervals
- A point estimate provides a single plausible value for a parameter.
- Instead of supplying just a point estimate of a parameter, a next logical step would be to provide a plausible range of values for the parameter.
- In this section and in Section 4.3, we will emphasize the special case where the point estimate is a sample mean and the parameter is the population mean.
- In Section 4.5, we generalize these methods for a variety of point estimates and population parameters that we will encounter in Chapter 5 and beyond.
- This video introduces confidence intervals for point estimates, which are intervals that describe a plausible range for a population parameter.
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Level of Confidence
- The proportion of confidence intervals that contain the true value of a parameter will match the confidence level.
- Confidence intervals consist of a range of values (interval) that act as good estimates of the unknown population parameter .
- However, in infrequent cases, none of these values may cover the value of the parameter.
- This value is represented by a percentage, so when we say, "we are 99% confident that the true value of the parameter is in our confidence interval," we express that 99% of the observed confidence intervals will hold the true value of the parameter.
- After a sample is taken, the population parameter is either in the interval made or not -- there is no chance.
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Estimating the Target Parameter: Point Estimation
- Point estimation involves the use of sample data to calculate a single value which serves as the "best estimate" of an unknown population parameter.
- The point estimate of the mean is a single value estimate for a population parameter.
- A popular method of estimating the parameters of a statistical model is maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE).
- The approach is called "linear" least squares since the assumed function is linear in the parameters to be estimated.
- Contrast why MLE and linear least squares are popular methods for estimating parameters
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Review
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Estimation
- Estimating population parameters from sample parameters is one of the major applications of inferential statistics.
- One of the major applications of statistics is estimating population parameters from sample statistics.
- It is rare that the actual population parameter would equal the sample statistic.
- Instead, we use confidence intervals to provide a range of likely values for the parameter.
- We know that the estimate $\hat { \theta }$ would rarely equal the actual population parameter $\theta $.