experimental probability
(noun)
The probability that a certain outcome will occur, as determined through experiment.
Examples of experimental probability in the following topics:
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Experimental Probabilities
- The experimental probability is the ratio of the number of outcomes in which an event occurs to the total number of trials in an experiment.
- The experimental (or empirical) probability pertains to data taken from a number of trials.
- $\displaystyle \text{experimental probability of event} = \frac{\text{occurrences of event}}{\text{total number of trials}}$
- Experimental probability contrasts theoretical probability, which is what we would expect to happen.
- If we conduct a greater number of trials, it often happens that the experimental probability becomes closer to the theoretical probability.
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Theoretical Probability
- Probability theory uses logic and mathematical reasoning, rather than experimental data, to determine probable outcomes.
- Mathematically, probability theory formulates incomplete knowledge pertaining to the likelihood of an event.
- This probability is determined through measurements and logic, but not through any experimental findings (the future has not yet happened).
- For example, the probability of rolling any specific number on a six-sided die is one out of six: there are six, equally probable sides to land on, and each side is distinct from the others.
- This is a theoretical probability; testing by rolling the die many times and recording the results would result in an experimental probability.
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Applications of the Parabola
- The parabolic trajectory of projectiles was discovered experimentally in the 17th century by Galileo, who performed experiments with balls rolling on inclined planes.
- Aircraft used to create a weightless state for purposes of experimentation, such as NASA's "Vomit Comet," follow a vertically parabolic trajectory for brief periods in order to trace the course of an object in free fall, which, for most purposes, produces the same effect as zero gravity.
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What is an Equation?
- For $x + 3 =5$, you have probably already guessed that the only possible value of $x$ is 2, because you know that $2 + 3 = 5$ is a true equation.
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Division of Complex Numbers
- You are probably already familiar with this concept for ordinary real numbers: dividing by $2$ is the same as multiplying by $\frac12$, dividing by 3 is the same as multiplying by $\frac13$, and so on.
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Circles as Conic Sections
- You probably know how to find the area and the circumference of a circle, given its radius.
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Polynomial and Rational Functions as Models
- Of course, this is only possible if the two quantities are related: How many uncles a kid has got has probably nothing to do with how far they can jump.
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Permutations
- In many calculators, the factorial option is located under the "probability" menu for this reason.
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Rational Algebraic Expressions
- You could probably find the least common denominator if you played around with the numbers long enough.
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Common Bases of Logarithms
- The prime number theorem states that for large enough N, the probability that a random integer not greater than N is prime is very close to $\frac {1} {log(N)}$.