Prisoner's Dilemma

Prisoner's Dilemma - Answers

The answers are in BOLD below.

NOTE: The transcript from the video is listed below the quiz for your reference.

1. In the prisoner's dilemma situation featuring Bonnie and Clyde, the most favorable outcome for the prisoners is for

both to confess
Bonnie to confess and Clyde to remain silent
Bonnie to confess only if Clyde confesses
both to remain silent
Clyde to confess and Bonnie to remain silent

2. Merrill Flood and Melvin Dresher's game theory experiments were designed to

predict possible outcomes of nuclear war based on choices made by each superpower
determine the potential human costs of nuclear war
distract them from the threat of nuclear war
determine the potential environmental costs of nuclear war
find ways to eliminate the possibility of nuclear war

3. The Cold War can be considered a prisoner's dilemma because

the superpower that strikes first is more likely to win
cooperating won't benefit either superpower
both sides benefit from launching nuclear weapons simultaneously
the superpower that strikes first is more likely to lose
both sides benefit from not launching nuclear weapons

Do you make decisions based on your own self- interest? In this lesson, we'll take a look at the famous 'prisoner's dilemma' game to see if individuals, when faced with a competitive or cooperative decision, will choose selfish or selfless outcomes.

Would you choose short-term benefits for selfish reasons, even if they had long-term negative impacts on the group? Or, would you act altruistically and put the best interests of the group before your own?

Such questions of social conscience and morality were examined by researchers at the RAND Corporation. In the 1950s, while Cold War tensions were high, RAND researchers Merrill Flood and Melvin Dresher used game theory to simulate global nuclear strategies. Each scenario in their war games would predict a different outcome of nuclear war based on the choices that the superpowers made. They asked questions like, 'if the U.S. dropped the bomb first, would we win the war in the short term, but cause long-term destruction to humankind?'

Mathematician and RAND consultant Albert Tucker applied this same game theory to a hypothetical situation with prisoners. Tucker's version is known as the prisoner's dilemma. He presented the scenarios to a group of Stanford psychologists, sparking its widespread application in psychology, biology, sociology and other disciplines.

The prisoner's dilemma goes like this: two prisoners (let's call them Bonnie and Clyde) are suspected of committing a major crime together. The prosecutors only have evidence to convict each of them on a minor offense. Bonnie and Clyde are interrogated separately in hopes of getting a confession.

The prosecutors promise to give each prisoner a reduced sentence if they confess first to the major crime and implicate their partner.

If neither Bonnie nor Clyde confesses, both serve 6 months each for the minor crime.
If Bonnie confesses, she serves no time, but Clyde serves 20 years.
If both Bonnie and Clyde confess, there's no trial. The prosecutors offer a reduced sentence of 10 years to each prisoner.

In the prisoner's dilemma, the payoff is the number of years spent in prison.

To recap, if both prisoners cooperate with each other, they achieve the best outcome for the group as a whole (6 months each). But each prisoner is motivated to confess since the payoff is a lesser sentence regardless of what the other prisoner does. Competition is spurred by self interest in not serving 20 years if the other prisoner cooperates with the prosecutors. Still, the partners in crime get the shortest sentence if they both remain silent.

Would you take the risk for the greater good or would you save your skin and rat your buddy out? And has understanding the prisoner's dilemma changed your attitude?